Monday, May 11, 2009

The Cassandra of the Glass-Steagall Act:

The footage of him speaking on the Senate floor has become something of a cult flick for the particularly wonky progressive. The date was November 4, 1999. Senator Byron Dorgan, in a patterned red tie, sharp dark suit and hair with slightly more color than it has today, was captured only by the cameras of CSPAN2.

"I want to sound a warning call today about this legislation," he declared, swaying ever so slightly right, then left, occasionally punching the air in front of him with a slightly closed fist. "I think this legislation is just fundamentally terrible."

The legislation was the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act (alternatively known as Gramm Leach Bliley), which allowed banks to merge with insurance companies and investment houses. And Dorgan was, at the time, on a proverbial island with his concerns. Only eight senators would vote against the measure -- lionized by its proponents, including senior staff in the Clinton administration and many now staffing President Obama, as the most important breakthrough in the worlds of finance and politics in decades.

"It was more like a tidal wave in 1999," the North Dakota Democrat recalled of that vote in an interview with the Huffington Post. "You've seen the roll call. We didn't really have to deal with push back because they had such a strong, strong body of support for what they call modernization that the vote was never in doubt... The title of the bill was 'The Financial Modernization Act.' And so if you don't want to modernize, I guess you're considered hopelessly old fashioned."

Ten years later, Dorgan has been vindicated. His warning that banks would become "too big to fail" has proven basically true in the wake of the current financial crisis. He seems eerily prescient for claiming then that Congress would "look back ten years time and say we should not have done this." But he wasn't entirely alone. Sens. Barbara Boxer, Barbara Mikulski, Richard Shelby, Tom Harkin and Richard Bryan also cast nay votes.

As did Sen. Russ Feingold, who, in a statement from his office, recalled that "Gramm-Leach-Bliley was just one of several bad policies that helped lead to the credit market crisis and the severe recession it helped cause."

The late Sen. Paul Wellstone also opposed the bill, warning at the time that Congress was "about to repeal the economic stabilizer without putting any comparable safeguard in its place."

Outside government, doomsday-ing over the repeal of Glass-Steagall seemed far more palatable a position to take. Edward Kane, a finance professor at Boston College, warned that "nobody will be able to discipline a Citigroup" once the legislation passed, because the banks would be too big and the issues too complex.


Read much more at Huffington Post.


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Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Colbert hits a little close to home

The Colbert ReportMon - Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c
The Prescott Group Bailout
colbertnation.com
Colbert Report Full EpisodesPolitical HumorFirst 100 Days







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Wednesday, April 22, 2009

A present for the rest of us...

A key House panel on Wednesday advanced a bill to crack down on credit card interest rates and fees amid signs the Obama administration will try to toughen the bill further before it goes to a full vote.

Read more at CNN.com.

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Tuesday, April 14, 2009

GM recalls 1.5 million vehicles

GM just cannot catch a break...

General Motors Corp. is recalling 1.5 million vehicles because of potential engine fires.

Some of the recalled vehicles are no longer in production. The recall includes the 1998-1999 Oldsmobile Intrigue, the 1997-2003 Pontiac Grand Prix, 1997-2003 Buick Regal, and the 1998-2003 Chevrolet Lumina, Monte Carlo and Impala.


Read more at HuffPo.

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Obama's speech on the economy



Of course, there are some who argue that the government should stand back and simply let these banks fail - especially since in many cases it was their bad decisions that helped create the crisis in the first place.
But whether we like it or not, history has repeatedly shown that when nations do not take early and aggressive action to get credit flowing again, they have crises that last years and years instead of months and months - years of low growth, low job creation, and low investment that cost those nations far more than a course of bold, upfront action. And although there are a lot of Americans who understandably think that government money would be better spent going directly to families and businesses instead of banks - "where's our bailout?," they ask - the truth is that a dollar of capital in a bank can actually result in eight or ten dollars of loans to families and businesses, a multiplier effect that can ultimately lead to a faster pace of economic growth.

Read more plus the full transcript at HuffPo.

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Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Let's all go to the G-20...

President Barack Obama left for Europe Tuesday, packing a weighty agenda as he heads for critical economic and political talks in his first journey across the Atlantic since taking office two months ago.

Obama's focus: a G-20 meeting of the world's major economic powers and a NATO summit marking the 60 years since the alliance was founded to blunt Soviet aggression in Europe.

Obama's eight-day, five-country trip begins early Tuesday, sending him to meet with European leaders who split with the United States over the war in Iraq and the treatment of suspected terrorists at Guantanamo Bay under President George W. Bush.


Read more at HuffPo.


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Monday, March 30, 2009

Obama talks about auto companies GM & Chrysler

The president gave another talk about the auto bailouts. I have got to get his schedule so I know when he's speaking!!



Read more at The White House - Blog Post - GM & Chrysler


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Obamas to use own cash to redecorate White House

I like this guy...

The Obamas are using their own money to redecorate the White House residence and Oval Office, the White House confirms, forgoing the $100,000 in federal funds that is traditionally allotted to new presidents for such renovation projects.

The first couple — who made well over $2 million in 2008, largely from book revenues — is also turning down money from the White House Historical Association, the organization that financed a $74,000 set of china for the Bushes.



More at CNN Political Ticker.

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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Dear A.I.G., I Quit!

An interesting OpEd in today's Times

The following is a letter sent on Tuesday by Jake DeSantis, an executive vice president of the American International Group’s financial products unit, to Edward M. Liddy, the chief executive of A.I.G.

DEAR Mr. Liddy,

It is with deep regret that I submit my notice of resignation from A.I.G. Financial Products. I hope you take the time to read this entire letter. Before describing the details of my decision, I want to offer some context:

I am proud of everything I have done for the commodity and equity divisions of A.I.G.-F.P. I was in no way involved in — or responsible for — the credit default swap transactions that have hamstrung A.I.G. Nor were more than a handful of the 400 current employees of A.I.G.-F.P. Most of those responsible have left the company and have conspicuously escaped the public outrage.

After 12 months of hard work dismantling the company — during which A.I.G. reassured us many times we would be rewarded in March 2009 — we in the financial products unit have been betrayed by A.I.G. and are being unfairly persecuted by elected officials. In response to this, I will now leave the company and donate my entire post-tax retention payment to those suffering from the global economic downturn. My intent is to keep none of the money myself.

I take this action after 11 years of dedicated, honorable service to A.I.G. I can no longer effectively perform my duties in this dysfunctional environment, nor am I being paid to do so. Like you, I was asked to work for an annual salary of $1, and I agreed out of a sense of duty to the company and to the public officials who have come to its aid. Having now been let down by both, I can no longer justify spending 10, 12, 14 hours a day away from my family for the benefit of those who have let me down.



Read more at NYTimes.com.

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Friday, March 20, 2009

A.I.G. Sues Government for Return of $306 Million in Tax Payments

Are you KIDDING ME???

While the American International Group comes under fire from Congress over executive bonuses, it is quietly fighting the federal government for the return of $306 million in tax payments, some related to deals that were conducted through offshore tax havens.


Read more at NYTimes.com.

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Thursday, March 19, 2009

The Next AIG Scandal?

uh oh.

Thomas Gober, a former Mississippi state insurance examiner who has tracked fraud in the industry for 23 years and served previously as a consultant to the FBI and the Department of Justice, says he believes AIG's supposedly solvent insurance business may be at least as troubled as its reckless financial-products unit. Far from being 'healthy,' as state insurance regulators, ratings agencies and other experts have repeatedly described the insurance side, Gober calls it 'a house of cards.' Citing numerous documents he has obtained from state insurance regulators and obscure data buried in AIG's own 300-page annual reports, Gober argues that AIG's 71 interlocking domestic U.S. insurance subsidiaries are in hock to each other to an astonishing degree.

Most of this as-yet-undiscovered problem, Gober says, lies in the area of reinsurance, whereby one insurance company insures the liabilities of another so that the latter doesn't have to carry all the risk on its books. Most major insurance companies use outside firms to reinsure, but the vast majority of AIG's reinsurance contracts are negotiated internally among its affiliates, Gober says, and these internal balance sheets don't add up. The annual report of one major AIG subsidiary, American Home Assurance, shows that it owes $25 billion to another AIG affiliate, National Union Fire, Gober maintains. But American has only $22 billion of total invested assets on its balance sheet, he says, and it has issued another $22 billion in guarantees to the other companies. "The American Home assets and liquidity raise serious questions about their ability to make good on their promise to National Union Fire," says Gober, who has a consulting business devoted to protecting policyholders. Gober says there are numerous other examples of "cooked books" between AIG subsidiaries. Based on the state insurance regulators' own reports detailing unanswered questions, the tally in losses could be hundreds of billions of dollars more than AIG is now acknowledging.


Read more at Newsweek.com

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Wednesday, March 18, 2009

What $165 million could have bought instead

Those AIG bonuses amounted to $165 million. I've heard a lot of talk about how it was just a drop in the bucket out of the billions AIG got in bailout money -- why should we be so concerned about it?

While it's true that it's several orders of magnitude smaller than the price tags we've been looking at for bailing out failed institutions, $165 million is still a lot of money. What could we have bought for America instead?

  • National Endowment for the Arts budget for FY 2008 : $144.7 million
  • Allow the New York City Department of Education to develop 200 schools: $150 million
  • Improving Health care in rural areas under the president's new plan: $73 million
  • Mars Polar Lander: $120 million
  • Chesapeake Bay Watershed Conservation Program: $165 million
  • TriPoint Medical Center, a state-of-the-art health care facility in Ohio: $150 million

  • Absolute total idiocy: Priceless.



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AIG asks execs to return bonuses


This morning's word...

AIG asks execs to return bonuses - Mar. 18, 2009: "Liddy, saying he knew the public's patience is 'wearing thin,' said some employees have decided on their own to return their entire bonus to the company.

'It was distasteful to make these payments,' Liddy told members of the House Financial Services subcommittee. 'This morning, I've asked the employees of AIG Financial Products to step up and do the right thing. Specifically, I've asked those who received retention payments in excess of $100,000 or more to return at least half of those payments.'"




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I Can't Believe It's Not Insurance

Watching the AIG hearings this morning.

My favorite line so far is comes from New York's Gary Ackerman speaking before the Edward Liddy panel even started. He noted that there's a great product called "I Can't Believe It's Not Butter," but at least they have the decency to tell you it's not butter... They're calling it "credit default swaps" because if they called it "I Can't Believe It's Not Insurance," he says, maybe no one would buy it.

You can see them live on CSPAN-3 or on the livestream here.

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Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Those AIG Retention Bonuses: dirty details

Are you freaking kidding me? Andrew Cuomo releases info in a letter to Barney Frank about those AIG bonuses for the brilliant noodniks in AIG's Financial Products division:

• The top recipient received more than $6.4 million;
• The top seven bonus recipients received more than $4 million each;
• The top ten bonus recipients received a combined $42 million;
• 22 individuals received bonuses of $2 million or more, and combined they
received more than $72 million;
• 73 individuals received bonuses of $1 million or more; and
• Eleven of the individuals who received 'retention' bonuses of $1 million
or more are no longer working at AIG, including one who received $4.6
million

Again, these payments were all made to individuals in the subsidiary whose performance led to crushing losses and the near failure of AIG. Thus, last week, AIG made more than 73
millionaires in the unit which lost so much money that it brought the firm to its knees, forcing taxpayer bailout. Something is deeply wrong with this outcome. I hope the Committee will address it head on."

Read more of this irritating stuff at HuffPo.

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Monday, March 16, 2009

Wait a Second, Monkey Boy . . .

Barry Ritholz on the best financial thing he's learned:
You’re a monkey. It all comes down to that. You are a slightly clever, pants-wearing primate. If you forget that you’re nothing more than a monkey who has been fashioned by eons on the plains, being chased by tigers, you shouldn’t invest. You have to be aware of how your own psychology effects what you do. This is why we as investors sell at the bottom, get panicked. All the other lessons I’ve learned have come out of that. As has the field of behavioral economics.

Read more at Wait a Second, Monkey Boy . . .


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AIG Execs Who Ruined Company To Get $165 Million In Bonuses

Retention pay" Are you freakin' kidding me? Who needs to retain these people?
The large bulk of the payments at issue cover AIG Financial Products, the unit of the company that sold credit default swaps, the risky contracts that caused massive losses for the insurer.

A white paper prepared by the company says that AIG is contractually obligated to pay a total of about $165 million of previously awarded 'retention pay' to employees in this unit by Sunday, March 15. The document says that another $55 million in retention pay has already been distributed to about 400 AIG Financial Products employees.
Right. Sure. As Christine Pelosi says, Let's see you in court. I wanna hear what you think you did to deserve this payment. I want to know who you are!
Read more at HuffPo.

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AIG Falling

More on the AIG bonus debacle. Honest-to-freakin-Murgatroyd, everything was just going to business as usual for these CEOS? Didn't ANYone think, "Hey, maybe it would look better if I said I was going to take that bonus and GIVE IT BACK TO THE COMPANY?"
President Barack Obama declared Monday that insurance giant American International Group is in financial straits because of 'recklessness and greed' and said he intends to stop it from paying out millions in executive bonuses.

'It's hard to understand how derivative traders at AIG warranted any bonuses, much less $165 million in extra pay,' Obama said at the outset of an appearance to announce help for small businesses hurt by the deep recession.

Obama spoke out in the wake of reports that surfaced over the weekend saying that financially strapped American International Group Inc. was paying substantial bonuses to executives.

Noting that AIG has "received substantial sums" of federal aid from the federal government, Obama said he has asked Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner "to use that leverage and pursue every legal avenue to block these bonuses and make the American taxpayers whole."

A White House official told the Wall Street Journal that the Treasury Department will "use a planned $30 billion infusion into AIG to compel the company to repay the bonuses promised to employees of its financial-products group, which is responsible for selling the exotic financial instruments that brought the company to near-collapse."

...

In a letter to Geithner dated Saturday, [AIG Chairman Edward] Liddy said outside lawyers had informed the company that AIG had contractual obligations to make the bonus payments and could face lawsuits if it did not do so.


More here at HuffPo.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

Buffett’s Berkshire Has AAA Debt Rating Cut by Fitch (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

Damn.

Billionaire Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. had its top-level AAA credit rating cut by Fitch Ratings, which cited concern about the potential for losses on the insurer’s equity and derivatives holdings.

Buffett’s role as chief investment officer also puts the company at risk if he becomes unable to do the job, Fitch said in a statement. Fitch cut the so-called issuer default rating on Berkshire to AA , and senior unsecured debt to AA. The insurance and reinsurance units kept their AAA status, with a negative outlook for all entities, Fitch said.


Read more at Bloomberg.com.


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Jim Cramer on The Daily Show

I almost feel sorry for him, but there is no such thing as bad publicity. Cynically I can't help feeling like, as cathartic as it's been for us, the guy got massive exposure out of this.

But I'm still glad Jon nailed him...






More video at The Daily Show on Comedy Central.

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Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Cramer-isms

Cramer is going to be on Jon Stewart's Daily Show Thursday -- let's hope Jon asks him about this...

-On falsely creating the impression a stock is down (what he calls "fomenting"): "You can't foment. That's a violation... But you do it anyway because the SEC doesn't understand it." He adds, "When you have six days and your company may be in doubt because you are down, I think it is really important to foment."

-On the truth: "What's important when you are in that hedge fund mode is to not be doing anything that is remotely truthful, because the truth is so against your view - it is important to create a new truth to develop a fiction," Cramer advises. "You can't take any chances."

-On manipulating the market: 'A lot of times when I was short at my hedge fund, and I was positioned short, meaning I needed it down, I would create a level of activity before hand that could drive the futures,'

-On falsely creating the impression a stock is down (what he calls "fomenting"): "You can't foment. That's a violation... But you do it anyway because the SEC doesn't understand it." He adds, "When you have six days and your company may be in doubt because you are down, I think it is really important to foment."

-On the truth: "What's important when you are in that hedge fund mode is to not be doing anything that is remotely truthful, because the truth is so against your view - it is important to create a new truth to develop a fiction," Cramer advises. "You can't take any chances."

Read more at HuffPo.

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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Cramer vs. Stewart

JIM CRAMER: A comedian's attacking me! Wow! He runs a variety show!
MEREDITH VIEIRA: Okay, but you know what he's saying about you, that you advised investors to buy Bear Stearns. You said you were taken out of context.
CRAMER: On October 6th, 2008, I came on this show and did something you're never supposed to do if you have a stock show. I said people should sell everything. That was thirty-five percent ago. Whatever he says about Bear Stearns, this or that, that was a call that should have wrecked my career, and it would have if the market had gone up.



So Jon Stewart of course, has a reply... Nobody told him that you shouldn't get into a pissing match with Jon Stewart?



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Thursday, March 5, 2009

Citigroup Stock Sinks To An All-Time Low Of 97 Cents

...and A.I.G. is at $0.42. Brilliant.
Shares of Citigroup, once the nation's most powerful bank, hit an all time low of 97 cents on Thursday. It is a 95.56% drop from the same period last year. The bank's 52-week high was $27.35 on April 28, 2008. According to WSJ's Market Watch, the stock reached an all-time high of $57 a share on Dec. 18, 2006.
Read more at HuffPo.


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Jon Stewart once again nails exactly how we feel.\






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Joe Nocera on A.I.G.’s House of Cards

Joe Nocera is the Business columnist for the NY Times. Here is his explanation of the A.I.G. sitch...Possibly the best and most apoplexy-inducing thing I've read all week.
Next week, perhaps as early as Monday, the American International Group is going to report the largest quarterly loss in history. Rumors suggest it will be around $60 billion, which will affirm, yet again, A.I.G.’s sorry status as the most crippled of all the nation’s wounded financial institutions. The recent quarterly losses suffered by Merrill Lynch and Citigroup — “only” $15.4 billion and $8.3 billion, respectively — pale by comparison.

At the same time A.I.G. reveals its loss, the federal government is also likely to announce — yet again! — a new plan to save A.I.G., the third since September. So far the government has thrown $150 billion at the company, in loans, investments and equity injections, to keep it afloat. It has softened the terms it set for the original $85 billion loan it made back in September. To ease the pressure even more, the Federal Reserve actually runs a facility that buys toxic assets that A.I.G. had insured. A.I.G. effectively has been nationalized, with the government owning a hair under 80 percent of the stock. Not that it’s worth very much; A.I.G. shares closed Friday at 42 cents.

Donn Vickrey, who runs the independent research firm Gradient Analytics, predicts that A.I.G. is going to cost taxpayers at least $100 billion more before it finally stabilizes, by which time the company will almost surely have been broken into pieces, with the government owning large chunks of it. A quarter of a trillion dollars, if it comes to that, is an astounding amount of money to hand over to one company to prevent it from going bust. Yet the government feels it has no choice: because of A.I.G.’s dubious business practices during the housing bubble it pretty much has the world’s financial system by the throat.

If we let A.I.G. fail, said Seamus P. McMahon, a banking expert at Booz & Company, other institutions, including pension funds and American and European banks “will face their own capital and liquidity crisis, and we could have a domino effect.” A bailout of A.I.G. is really a bailout of its trading partners — which essentially constitutes the entire Western banking system.




Read more at the NYTimes.com.

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Wednesday, March 4, 2009

This grey hair is the financial crisis, that one is from the war....

Heck, Obama started going grey during the campaign. A little stressed? Y'think?

It happens to all of them, of course — Bill Clinton still had about half a head of brown hair when he took office but was a silver fox two years later, and George W. Bush went from salt and pepper to just salt in what seemed like a blink of an eye.

But so soon? “I started noticing it toward the end of the campaign and leading up to inauguration,” says Deborah Willis, who, as co-author of “Obama: The Historic Campaign in Photographs,” pored through 5,000 photographs of the first head over the last year.
Read more at the NYTimes.com.

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Almost Armageddon

Or is it "Deep Impact"... I always get them mixed up. Hey guys, how's that asteroid early warning program going?
An asteroid about the size of one that blasted Siberia a century ago just buzzed by Earth.

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory reported that the asteroid zoomed past Monday morning.

The asteroid named 2009 DD45 was about 48,800 miles from Earth. That is just twice the height of some telecommunications satellites and about a fifth of the distance to the Moon.

The space ball measured between 69 feet and 154 feet in diameter. The Planetary Society said that made it the same size as an asteroid that exploded over Siberia in 1908 and leveled more than 800 square miles of forest.

Most people probably didn't notice the cosmic close call. The asteroid was only spotted two days ago and at its closest point passed over the Pacific Ocean near Tahiti.
Ooops.

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Countrywide Execs making millions off mortgages bailout

Seriously, folks, seriously? Those millions need to go into the bailout pot.
Fairly or not, Countrywide Financial and its top executives would be on most lists of those who share blame for the nation’s economic crisis. After all, the banking behemoth made risky loans to tens of thousands of Americans, helping set off a chain of events that has the economy staggering.

So it may come as a surprise that a dozen former top Countrywide executives now stand to make millions from the home mortgage mess.

Stanford L. Kurland, Countrywide’s former president, and his team have been buying up delinquent home mortgages that the government took over from other failed banks, sometimes for pennies on the dollar. They get a piece of what they can collect.



Read more at the NYTimes.com.

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Monday, March 2, 2009

Hey Paul Krugman, what's a saving glut?

How Paul Krugman is like the financial markets: I read him and sorta recognize the words, but I only have the illusion of understanding... I really don't get it.

How did this global debt crisis happen? Why is it so widespread? The answer, I’d suggest, can be found in a speech Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve chairman, gave four years ago. At the time, Mr. Bernanke was trying to be reassuring. But what he said then nonetheless foreshadowed the bust to come.

The speech, titled “The Global Saving Glut and the U.S. Current Account Deficit,” offered a novel explanation for the rapid rise of the U.S. trade deficit in the early 21st century. The causes, argued Mr. Bernanke, lay not in America but in Asia.
Read more at the NYTimes.com.

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Friday, February 27, 2009

Op-Ed Columnist - Climate of Change - NYTimes.com

Paul Krugman is FINALLY happy. (And we all know that Obama was tailoring his economic policies to make Krugman happy.... LOL.)
Elections have consequences. President Obama’s new budget represents a huge break, not just with the policies of the past eight years, but with policy trends over the past 30 years. If he can get anything like the plan he announced on Thursday through Congress, he will set America on a fundamentally new course.

The budget will, among other things, come as a huge relief to Democrats who were starting to feel a bit of postpartisan depression. The stimulus bill that Congress passed may have been too weak and too focused on tax cuts. The administration’s refusal to get tough on the banks may be deeply disappointing. But fears that Mr. Obama would sacrifice progressive priorities in his budget plans, and satisfy himself with fiddling around the edges of the tax system, have now been banished.

For this budget allocates $634 billion over the next decade for health reform. That’s not enough to pay for universal coverage, but it’s an impressive start. And Mr. Obama plans to pay for health reform, not just with higher taxes on the affluent, but by putting a halt to the creeping privatization of Medicare, eliminating overpayments to insurance companies.

On another front, it’s also heartening to see that the budget projects $645 billion in revenues from the sale of emission allowances. After years of denial and delay by its predecessor, the Obama administration is signaling that it’s ready to take on climate change.

And these new priorities are laid out in a document whose clarity and plausibility seem almost incredible to those of us who grew accustomed to reading Bush-era budgets, which insulted our intelligence on every page. This is budgeting we can believe in.


Read the rest at NYTimes.com.

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San Francisco Chronicle To Start Charging For Online Content

I do have to wonder though, how much revenue anyone has ever derived from selling online content...
San Francisco Chronicle parent company Hearst said Tuesday it would be forced to sell or close the paper if a series of layoffs and cost-cutting measures do not put the paper back into the black. According to former Chronicle city editor Alan Mutter, the paper's management team revealed at emergency meetings held Wednesday that plans for the paper include the creation of 'pay-per-view sections on the Web site.' The San Francisco Chronicle also reported losses for 2008, to the tune of $50 million.
More at mediabistro.com.

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Thursday, February 26, 2009

Two Documents You Should Read to Better Understand the Crisis

As a white-collar criminologist and former financial regulator much of my research studies what causes financial markets to become profoundly dysfunctional. The FBI has been warning of an 'epidemic' of mortgage fraud since September 2004. It also reports that lenders initiated 80% of these frauds. When the person that controls a seemingly legitimate business or government agency uses it as a 'weapon' to defraud we categorize it as a 'control fraud' ('The Organization as 'Weapon' in White Collar Crime.' Wheeler & Rothman 1982; The Best Way to Rob a Bank is to Own One. Black 2005). Financial control frauds' 'weapon of choice' is accounting. Control frauds cause greater financial losses than all other forms of property crime -- combined. Control fraud epidemics can arise when financial deregulation and desupervision and perverse compensation systems create a 'criminogenic environment' (Big Money Crime. Calavita, Pontell & Tillman 1997.)


Read more on HuffPo.

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Obama unveils budget blueprint - CNN.com

The budget for fiscal year 2010 includes substantial investments in health care reform, renewable energy and education.

The budget also includes big cuts for some programs, setting the stage for major political battles as political patrons fight to save budget items in the months ahead.

Based on the proposed budget, the administration projects the deficit for fiscal year 2009 will reach $1.75 trillion, or 12.3 percent of U.S. gross domestic product. That's a record in dollar terms and is the highest as a share of GDP since World War II.


Read the budget (pdf)

More from CNN.com.

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Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Bear Market Comparisons, 1929-2009 | The Big Picture

Bear Market Comparisons, 1929-2009 | The Big Picture


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Tuesday, February 24, 2009

President Obama’s Address to Congress


The weight of this crisis will not determine the destiny of this nation. The answers to our problems don't lie beyond our reach. They exist in our laboratories and our universities, in our fields and our factories, in the imaginations of our entrepreneurs and the pride of the hardest-working people on Earth.

Those qualities that have made America the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history we still possess in ample measure. What is required now is for this country to pull together, confront boldly the challenges we face, and take responsibility for our future once more."

Dang, Poor Nancy Pelosi must have been exhausted after jumping up and sitting down all night.

Other precious moments:
"We can no longer afford to put health care reform on hold." Cut to Hillary Clinton in hot pink in the front row.

"...with the name of Orrin Hatch...." Cut to Orrin, looking down reading his program... Hullo....

Joe Lieberman, slow-clapping at "eliminate the no-bid contracts that have wasted billions in Iraq..."

"I will soon announce a way forward in Iraq that leaves Iraq to its people and responsibly ends this war." Even John McCain gets up for applause.

"I can stand here tonight and say without exception or equivocation that the United States of America does not torture." John McCain is up again. (And yes, he should have led on that issue.)
More stuff:

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Chesley Sullenberger: My Pay Has Been Cut 40 Percent In Recent Years, Pension Terminated

The air traffic controller who handled Flight 1549 thought ditching in the Hudson River amounted to a death sentence for all aboard. Now the veteran pilot who pulled off the ditching safely says harsh pay cuts are driving experienced pilots from the cockpit.

"People don't survive landings on the Hudson River," 10-year veteran controller Patrick Harten told a House subcommittee Tuesday in his first public description of how he tried to land the jetliner that lost power in both jets when it hit Canada geese after takeoff from New York's LaGuardia Airport.
Ream more at the AP on HuffPo.

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Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Obama’s Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan

Next up, bailout for the rest of us, who never could afford a house to begin with??

I'm here today to talk about a crisis unlike any we've ever known – but one that you know very well here in Mesa, and throughout the Valley. In Phoenix and its surrounding suburbs, the American Dream is being tested by a home mortgage crisis that not only threatens the stability of our economy but also the stability of families and neighborhoods. It is a crisis that strikes at the heart of the middle class: the homes in which we invest our savings, build our lives, raise our families, and plant roots in our communities.

So many Americans have shared with me their personal experiences of this crisis. Many have written letters or emails or shared their stories with me at rallies and along rope lines. Their hardship and heartbreak are a reminder that while this crisis is vast, it begins just one house – and one family – at a time.


Read more at NYTimes.com.

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Monday, February 16, 2009

Madoff Action Figure


The Limited Edition Bernie Madoff Made Off with My Money Action Figure. By Modelworks.

Get yours now.

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Face of the Day


Obama listening to House Republicans. They crowded around to ask for his autograph and then proceeded not to vote for the stimulus bill.


Jerks.

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Paul Krugman on the myth of wealth creation

Last week the Federal Reserve released the results of the latest Survey of Consumer Finances, a triennial report on the assets and liabilities of American households. The bottom line is that there has been basically no wealth creation at all since the turn of the millennium: the net worth of the average American household, adjusted for inflation, is lower now than it was in 2001.

At one level this should come as no surprise. For most of the last decade America was a nation of borrowers and spenders, not savers. The personal savings rate dropped from 9 percent in the 1980s to 5 percent in the 1990s, to just 0.6 percent from 2005 to 2007, and household debt grew much faster than personal income. Why should we have expected our net worth to go up?

Yet until very recently Americans believed they were getting richer, because they received statements saying that their houses and stock portfolios were appreciating in value faster than their debts were increasing. And if the belief of many Americans that they could count on capital gains forever sounds na�ve, it’s worth remembering just how many influential voices — notably in right-leaning publications like The Wall Street Journal, Forbes and National Review — promoted that belief, and ridiculed those who worried about low savings and high levels of debt.


Thanks Paul.

Read more at NYTimes.com.

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Don't miss a credit card payment, or the APR could soar - Los Angeles Times

Oh look, Americans are already paying to bail out banks...Oh yeah, we HAVE been paying for their junkets all these years.
Even in the best of times, carrying a balance on your credit card is a risky -- and costly -- proposition. These days, it can be downright foolish, at least if there's a chance you might miss a payment or two.

Millions of cardholders have recently received letters from the likes of Citibank, Bank of America Corp., Wells Fargo & Co. and American Express Co. notifying them that their interest rates are going up, in some cases to 30% if a single payment is missed.

JPMorgan Chase & Co., the nation's largest issuer of plastic, has begun charging hundreds of thousands of cardholders a $10 monthly fee for having carried large balances for more than a couple years.

Why? In part it's because default rates are rising and banks are dealing with additional risk. But lawmakers and consumer advocates say the higher rates also reflect banks' massive losses from betting wrong on the housing boom, and they're basically sticking credit card customers with the tab.

At a Senate Banking Committee hearing last week, Sen. Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.), the committee chairman, said lenders are "gouging" customers to boost their bottom lines.
"The list of questionable actions credit card companies are engaged in is lengthy and disturbing," he said.

At the same time, rising layoffs and tough economic conditions have caused many people to lean more heavily on their plastic -- sometimes too heavily.

Corona resident Louis Martinez, 39, is carrying about $45,000 in debt on eight credit cards. He says it's not that he's been deliberately reckless. Rather, the debt piled up after his wife got sick several years ago and half the family's income disappeared.

"What can you do?" Martinez asked. "You still want to provide for your family."

He said he grows more anxious with each bank letter that arrives warning him of potential interest-rate increases.

"I've never missed a payment," Martinez said. "But with the way things are now, I wonder every day how I'm going to get through the month."

By ratcheting up the pressure on customers, major banks -- some of which have received billions of dollars in bailout cash from taxpayers -- are making it likely that a growing percentage will be forced to either default on their obligations or seek bankruptcy protection.

Last week, letters arrived at the homes of Citibank cardholders throughout California warning that their rates could rise to 29.99% if they miss a single payment -- even for cards with low-low-low introductory rates.

Citi customers have the right to decline any such rate hike. But if they do, their account will be closed as soon as the card expires. And that's one of the more generous conditions offered by a leading bank.

Other lenders say cardholders who don't want higher rates can close their accounts immediately and pay off the outstanding balance.

Samuel Wang, a Citi spokesman, blamed the rate hike on the "difficult market environment" and "severe funding dislocation." In other words, business has gone down the tubes.

Citi lost $18.7 billion last year and received $45 billion in bailout cash from taxpayers.

"In light of these unprecedented developments and others, Citi is repricing a group of customers in our Citi-branded consumer credit card business in the U.S. to appropriately manage these risks," Wang said. "We are carrying out this repricing in order to continue lending in this environment."

American Express cited a similar rationale to explain why it had raised interest rates by up to 3 percentage points for millions of cardholders last month.

"It was because of the challenging environment that we're in and the cost of doing business," said Desiree Fish, a company spokeswoman.

You can read more in the Los Angeles Times.

You know what kills me about the whining about "losing top talent" if you cap CEO bonuses? Into what OTHER industry do they think they're going to go? Who the heck do they think is going going to pay such absurdly, obscenely, outrageously huge "bonus" sums for abject FAILURE?

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Friday, February 13, 2009

Martin Wolf on slaying zombie banks

FT.com / Columnists / Martin Wolf - Why Obama’s new Tarp will fail to rescue the banks.

"The correct advice remains the one the US gave the Japanese and others during the 1990s: admit reality, restructure banks and, above all, slay zombie institutions at once. It is an important, but secondary, question whether the right answer is to create new “good banks”, leaving old bad banks to perish, as my colleague, Willem Buiter, recommends, or new “bad banks”, leaving cleansed old banks to survive. I also am inclined to the former, because the culture of the old banks seems so toxic.

By asking the wrong question, Mr Obama is taking a huge gamble. He should have resolved to cleanse these Augean banking stables. He needs to rethink, if it is not already too late."




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Arianna Huffington: Why is Obama Reluctant to Kill the Zombie Banks Threatening Our Economy?

Arianna Huffington: Why is Obama Reluctant to Kill the Zombie Banks Threatening Our Economy?:

"The big problem is Geithner is acting as if the crisis we are facing is a crisis of liquidity when, in fact, it's a crisis of insolvency. As Ann Pettifor puts it on HuffPost: 'Much of Wall Street is effectively insolvent. It's not that these banks lack cash or capital -- it's just that they're never going to meet all their financial liabilities -- i.e. repay their debts. Ever.'

Trying to prop these zombies up, as Geithner seems intent on doing, will lead to what Roubini calls 'a royal rip-off of the taxpayer' and the risk of 'turning a U-shaped recession into an L-shaped near-depression.'"



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Lessons From Japan in Stemming a Crisis

Ummmm, I have a really bad feeling about this. Anyone else feel like this is familiar sounding?

The Obama administration is committing huge sums of money to rescuing banks, but the veterans of Japan’s banking crisis have three words for the Americans: more money, faster.

The Japanese have been here before. They endured a “lost decade” of economic stagnation in the 1990s as their banks labored under crippling debt, and successive governments wasted trillions of yen on half-measures.

By then, Tokyo’s main Nikkei stock index had lost almost three-quarters of its value. The country’s public debt had grown to exceed its gross domestic product, and deflation stalked the land. In the end, real estate prices fell for 15 consecutive years.

More alarming? Some students of the Japanese debacle say they see a similar train wreck heading for the United States.

“I thought America had studied Japan’s failures,” said Hirofumi Gomi, a top official at Japan’s Financial Services Agency during the crisis. “Why is it making the same mistakes?”

Many American critics of the plan unveiled Tuesday by Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said the plan lacked details. Experts on Japan found it timid — especially given the size of the banking crisis the administration faces.

More at the NYTimes.com.

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Thursday, February 12, 2009

Judd Gregg Withdraws as Commerce Secretary nominee

What is the freakin' problem here?

"'I couldn't be Judd Gregg and serve in the Cabinet. I should have faced up to the reality of that earlier,' Gregg said. 'I've been my own person and I began to wonder if I could be an effective team player. The president deserves someone who can block for his policies. As a practical matter I can contribute to his agenda better--where we agree--as a senator and I hope to do that.'

'The fault lies with me,' Gregg said in an interview with Politico, refusing to discuss any conversations he has had with Obama himself. Asked if he felt the decision would be an embarrassment for the president, Gregg said, 'I may have embarrassed myself but hopefully not him.'

More in the round-up from HuffPo.

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Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Deal Reached: $789 Billion

Get it to his desk. Now.
Moving with lightning speed, key lawmakers announced agreement Wednesday on a $789 billion economic stimulus measure designed to create millions of jobs in a nation reeling from recession. President Barack Obama could sign the bill within days.

'The middle ground we've reached creates more jobs than the original Senate bill and costs less than the original House bill,' said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, one of the participants in an exhausting and frenzied round of bargaining.

The bill includes help for victims of the recession in the form of unemployment benefits, food stamps, health coverage and more, as well as billions for states that face the prospect of making deep cuts in their own programs.

It also preserves Obama's signature tax cut _ a break for millions of lower and middle income taxpayers, including those who don't earn enough to pay income taxes."


More from the AP.

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Mark Morford on American Monsters

Mark Morford has a screed today that pretty much hits all the points that I've been thinking about....
Whatever you call it, there's a bitter tang in the air, a nasty streak of anti-Everythingism, a collective bullet of disgust and frustration that's most violently aimed at the most precious American commodity of all: the rich, the overly entitled, the uberwealthy, the manicured bankers and CEOs and Wall Street cash jockeys we used to cherish like royalty but who now smell vaguely of death and foreclosure and Bernie Madoff.
Read more on SFGate.com.

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Tuesday, February 10, 2009

How The World Almost Came To An End At 2PM On September 18

Frightening.
On Thursday (Sept 18), at 11am the Federal Reserve noticed a tremendous draw-down of money market accounts in the U.S., to the tune of $550 billion was being drawn out in the matter of an hour or two. The Treasury opened up its window to help and pumped a $105 billion in the system and quickly realized that they could not stem the tide. We were having an electronic run on the banks. They decided to close the operation, close down the money accounts and announce a guarantee of $250,000 per account so there wouldn't be further panic out there.

If they had not done that, their estimation is that by 2pm that afternoon, $5.5 trillion would have been drawn out of the money market system of the U.S., would have collapsed the entire economy of the U.S., and within 24 hours the world economy would have collapsed. It would have been the end of our economic system and our political system as we know it.


Read more over at Zero Hedge.

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Obama Press Conference-Video



Helen Thomas, who had been snubbed by Bush in his final years, asked if Obama knew of any countries in the Middle East that already have nuclear weapons. Obviously, she meant: Israel (which reportedly has them). He said he wouldn't want to say but any escalation now would be bad. She interrupted him twice in mid-answer, pressing the point. And at very end she was still pressing.

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Monday, February 9, 2009

Polls say Obama Stimulus Effort Backed By Huge Majority

Remember those days of endlessly checking polls? Guess we're going to have to do daily checks again. Jake Tapper of ABC points out that under-reported in the press is that Obama's stimulus plan has HIGH approval ratings (67%), while Republicans DISAPPROVAL ratings on the same issue are high (58%).
Sixty-seven percent of the American people approve of how President Obama's handling his efforts to pass an economic stimulus bill, as opposed to 48% for Democrats in Congress and 31% for congressional Republicans.

In addition, the disapproval rating for Congressional Republicans remains a 'staggeringly high' 58%. And the public continues to view the package as a matter of paramount concern. 51% of those polled consider the plan's passage to be 'critically important,' with 'Only 16% say it is 'not that important.''

Read more details, plus an interesting analysis of Republican stimulus bill changes on HuffPo.

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Obama's Elkhart, Indiana Town Hall Event

I'm watching this guy right now and he's brilliant. This format is perfect for him, but more importantly, it's a visceral reminder to the Republicans of what's happening in real America. Plus he just got a little dig in there at John McCain with his seven (eight, nine?) houses.
President Obama has left Washington today to appeal directly to main street for the backing of his stimulus plans. He's holding a town hall event in Elkhart, Indiana first. The local paper - The Elkhart Truth - has more information on the event. The full text of Obama's remarks is below.

On Tuesday, Obama will be in Fort Myers, Florida. HuffPost is providing live video streams of the Indiana event.
You can watch Obama's Elkhart, Indiana Town Hall Event on HuffPo.

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Tuesday, February 3, 2009

Obama on the networks today

Barack Obama is slated to sit down with the five major television news networks tomorrow, a media play that is almost certain to be part of a broader effort to sell his stimulus package to the American public.

The president will conduct interviews in the Oval Office with ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN and FOX News on Tuesday afternoon, according to the official White House schedule. The sitdowns come at a delicate time for the president, with concern mounting in Democratic circles that much of the debate over the stimulus has been dominated by the GOP.


More on HuffPo.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Obama Officials Tells Citibank To Ditch Plans For $50 Million Private Jet

LOVES it.
"ABC News has learned that Monday officials of the Obama administration called Citigroup about the company's new $50 million corporate jet and told execs to 'fix it.'"
'Bout damn time someone these people in hand!!

More on HuffPo.

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Monday, January 26, 2009

Citigroup's new corporate jet

Hey, since taxpayers gave them $45 billion, does this mean we ALL get to ride in it? (Idiots.)

The New York Post's Jennifer Keil and Chuck Bennett reported in Monday's paper that Citigroup, which has received $45 billion in government bailout funds, is about to upgrade to a new $50 million, twelve-seat corporate jet.

The plane, the Dassault Falcon 7X, is a luxurious jet with a range of 5,950 nautical miles (meaning it can fly from New York to all of Europe and South America, as far east as Riyadh, and as far west as Honolulu or Petropavlovsk, Russia). The Post reports it has "plush interior with leather seats, sofas and a customizable entertainment center."

Read more at HuffPo.

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Riots and depression in Iceland

Now, seriously, if Iceland is descending into chaos...

Iceland's ruling coalition collapsed today under the pressures of the country's financial meltdown, the first government to fall as a direct result of the global economic crisis

Prime Minister Geir Haarde said he would hand in his resignation to President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson after talks to save his government failed.

Iceland's troubles did reveal themselves during last week's tumultuous events. Peaceful demonstrations began in Reykjavik's main square, outside the Althing (parliament) building, had begun in October immediately after the crash. Last week they erupted in the worst riots since it became a founding member of Nato in 1949. Rocks were hurled at police and the Althing. Its windows were smashed and the building set alight. Over 130 protesters received treatment after police used tear gas to disperse the crowd, and one police officer was seriously injured.

On Friday morning, human rights campaigner and protest organiser Hordur Torfason told a chilling anecdote to illustrate the desperation many Icelanders are feeling. He had received a phone call from a man who said that four generations of his family had lost everything. "He wanted me to help them build a gallows in front of the parliament building," says Torfason. "I asked him if this was to have some symbolic significance. 'No,' came the answer. 'A member of my family wants to hang himself in public.'"

"I said I would help them but not in this way," says Torfason. "But he killed himself two days ago."

Red Cross employees and volunteers are working overtime to prepare for depression and desperation. The relief agency has expanded and is setting up support groups and activities for the unemployed. "One of the effects of long-term unemployment is depression," says the agency's Thor Gislason.



Read more at the Independent.co.uk.

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Monday, December 15, 2008

The worst of the mortgage crisis is still ahead

Geee---reat. From 60 Minutes.

One of the best guides to the danger ahead is Whitney Tilson. He's an investment fund manager who has made such a name for himself recently that investors, who manage about $10 billion, gathered to hear him last week. Tilson saw, a year ago, that sub-prime mortgages were just the start.

"We had the greatest asset bubble in history and now that bubble is bursting. The single biggest piece of the bubble is the U.S. mortgage market and we're probably about halfway through the unwinding and bursting of the bubble," Tilson explains. "It may seem like all the carnage out there, we must be almost finished. But there's still a lot of pain to come in terms of write-downs and losses that have yet to be recognized."

In 2007, Tilson teamed up with Amherst Securities, an investment firm that specializes in mortgages. Amherst had done some financial detective work, analyzing the millions of mortgages that were bundled into those mortgage-backed securities that Wall Street was peddling. It found that the sub-primes, loans to the least credit-worthy borrowers, were defaulting. But Amherst also ran the numbers on what were supposed to be higher quality mortgages.

"It was data we'd never seen before and that's what made us realize, 'Holy cow, things are gonna be much worse than anyone anticipates,'" Tilson says.

The trouble now is that the insanity didn't end with sub-primes. There were two other kinds of exotic mortgages that became popular, called "Alt-A" and "option ARM." The option ARMs, in particular, lured borrowers in with low initial interest rates - so-called teaser rates - sometimes as low as one percent. But after two, three or five years those rates "reset." They went up. And so did the monthly payment. A mortgage of $800 dollars a month could easily jump to $1,500.

More here.

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Monday, December 8, 2008

Illinois Governor Suspends Business With Bank Of America

Illinois Governor Suspends Business With Bank Of America:
"Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich announced Monday that he is asking all Illinois government agencies to suspend business with Bank of America. Blagojevich contended that Bank Of America received a multi-billion dollar bailout from the government and should accordingly restore credit to the Republic Windows & Doors company in Chicago"


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Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Michael Moore on the auto bailout

I drive an American car. It's a Chrysler. That's not an endorsement. It's more like a cry for pity. And now for a decades-old story, retold ad infinitum by tens of millions of Americans, a third of whom have had to desert their country to simply find a damn way to get to work in something that won't break down:

My Chrysler is four years old. I bought it because of its smooth and comfortable ride. Daimler-Benz owned the company then and had the good grace to place the Chrysler chassis on a Mercedes axle and, man, was that a sweet ride!

When it would start.

More than a dozen times in these years, the car has simply died. Batteries have been replaced, but that wasn't the problem. My dad drives the same model. His car has died many times, too. Just won't start, for no reason at all.

A few weeks ago, I took my Chrysler in to the Chrysler dealer here in northern Michigan -- and the latest fixes cost me $1,400. The next day, the vehicle wouldn't start. When I got it going, the brake warning light came on. And on and on.

You might assume from this that I couldn't give a rat's ass about these miserably inept crapmobile makers down the road in Detroit city. But I do care. I care about the millions whose lives and livelihoods depend on these car companies. I care about the security and defense of this country because the world is running out of oil -- and when it runs out, the calamity and collapse that will take place will make the current recession/depression look like a Tommy Tune musical.

Read more of Michael Moore's letter.

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Sunday, November 30, 2008

SNL ridicules the Congressional hearings on the auto bailout






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Friday, November 28, 2008

Paul Krugman on Economic Prognostication

I love Krugman's snark-iness. In his op-ed "Lest We Forget":
"A few months ago I found myself at a meeting of economists and finance officials, discussing — what else? — the crisis. There was a lot of soul-searching going on. One senior policy maker asked, “Why didn’t we see this coming?”

There was, of course, only one thing to say in reply, so I said it: “What do you mean ‘we,’ white man?”

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Sunday, November 23, 2008

Auto Bailout figures explained

When the Bailout Plan was first proposed, the framers arrived at the number $700 billion" because it was a "big number."

One might be suspicious, therefore, as to how the auto industry decided that "$25 billion" would be how much they needed from Congress. Never fear, it was all very mathematistical...





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Citibank comes late to the party

The NY Times has a long front page article on the faltering of the largest lumbering behemoth of the financial crisis world...
Citigroup Saw No Red Flags Even as It Made Bolder Bets:
"Normally, a big bank would never allow the word of just one executive to carry so much weight. Instead, it would have its risk managers aggressively look over any shoulder and guard against trading or lending excesses."
But many Citigroup insiders say the bank’s risk managers never investigated deeply enough. Because of longstanding ties that clouded their judgment, the very people charged with overseeing deal makers eager to increase short-term earnings — and executives’ multimillion-dollar bonuses — failed to rein them in, these insiders say.

Today, Citigroup, once the nation’s largest and mightiest financial institution, has been brought to its knees by more than $65 billion in losses, write-downs for troubled assets and charges to account for future losses. More than half of that amount stems from mortgage-related securities created by Mr. Maheras’s team — the same products Mr. Prince was briefed on during that 2007 meeting."

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Wednesday, November 19, 2008

"You-must-be-[Mile]-High club"

What were you thinking?? Big Three auto CEOs flew private jets to ask for taxpayer money :
"'There is a delicious irony in seeing private luxury jets flying into Washington, D.C., and people coming off of them with tin cups in their hand, saying that they're going to be trimming down and streamlining their businesses,' Rep. Gary Ackerman, D-New York, told the chief executive officers of Ford, Chrysler and General Motors at a hearing of the House Financial Services Committee.

'It's almost like seeing a guy show up at the soup kitchen in high hat and tuxedo. It kind of makes you a little bit suspicious.'"



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Monday, November 17, 2008

Pigs are flying!

Goldman Chiefs Give Up Bonuses - WSJ.com:

In a closely watched move that may be followed across Wall Street, the top executives at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have decided to forgo their 2008 bonuses. In doing so, they are giving up potentially tens of millions of dollars in payouts in a year that reshaped the securities industry.

After months of internal debate at Goldman, the seven top executives at the firm, including Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein, asked the board's compensation committee to grant them no bonuses. The board approved the request on Sunday.

The executives will only be eligible for their base salaries, $600,000 for each.

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